They have 2 more easy wins on their schedule with ULM and Abilene Christian. Then, the SEC seems down all around to me.
Their bucket of games with Auburn, Arkansas, USC, Miss State - they probably go 2-2 or 3-1. I think they beat Auburn, SC, and MSU. All 3 of those at home. Lose to Arkansas on the road.
Tennessee, Ole Miss, Alabama, and LSU - they probably go 1-3 or 2-2. All on the road except Alabama. Tennessee, LSU, and Ole Miss don't look good but plenty of time before those game. Then they've always played Alabama pretty tough it seems.
If I was guessing now, I'd say 7-5. 9-3 ceiling if they can steal a road game against Ole Miss or LSU and can go undefeated in the 4 weaker SEC games. Probably not firing him unless he loses a bowl game on top of that. $70-80M is a lot of money.