2013 GAME BY GAME PREVIEW WEEK TWO FLORIDA

motorcitycane

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Florida Gators
2012: 11-2

Coaching: Following an abysmal 7-6 2011 season, Florida fans were outraged with HC Will Muschamp's performance. It's needless to say he is back in their good graces following a 11-2 2012 season. Will Muschamp is a defensive guru with previous collegiate stints at Texas, Auburn, and LSU. Muschamp brought in the highly regarded Brent Pease who is known as an offensive mastermind. Pease tailored last seasons offense to fit his personnel. He looks to do the same this season. The gators achieved a 65:35 Run:Pass Ratio last season. Pease and company would like to throw the football more this season but will need to rely on an offensive line that gave up 39 sacks in 2012 to improve. The strategy that Pease plans to use to achieve that goal is to run the ball against Toledo and Miami. Both Teams who ranked in the bottom quarter of college football in stopping the run. They plan to ease him into the passing role. Many want to point to Florida's offensive numbers and say that they have struggled. The reality is that was part of the strategy for UF last season and it worked against big time schools and nearly cost them games against Bowling Green, TAMU, Missouri, and ULL.

2013 Positional Breakdown
QB: The Gators will be led by junior QB Jeff Driskel this season. The former #1 overall HS QB prospect managed to achieve a 63% pass completion rate for less than 1700 yards in 2012. He had 12 Passing Touchdowns, 5 INT's, 400 rushing yards averaging 3.5 yards per carry, and he scored 4 times on the ground. Driskel is quicker than fast and doesn't hesitate to run once defender's turn their backs to him. His passing is spotty. Even with that 63% completion rate, Driskels downfield shots are rare. He averaged 6.75 yards per attempt. Showing that he likes to throw the short, quick routes instead of the intermediate and deep routes. He get's sacked a lot, as the Gator's offensive line is unimpressive to put it nicely, so durability concerns are raised. Driskel will need to learn how to throw the ball out of bounds as opposed to taking shots to the body. Those hits wear down over time. It's needless to say Driskels improvement will be vital to the success of the Gators this season.

RB: Losing Mike Gillislee stings a bit for the Gatos but many Florida faithful believe Matt Jones (52 carries for 275 yards) will be a better RB than Gillislee. He's stronger and faster than Gillislee and is reportedly running a 4.40 right now. Jones had a spectacular spring and has solidified himself atop the depth chart. While many expected Mack Brown to back him up early enrollee Kelvin Taylor has also had a great spring, and had Jones not stepped up, Taylor would be the likely starter. While Pease may have wanted to run Jones into the ground Taylor has been so good that that they can't leave him on the bench and the team claims to want an Alabama style duo in the future.

WR: This position group has been lacking for quite some time at Florida and losing their top targets hurts a lot. They will rely on Quinton Dunbar, Andre Debose, Solomon Patton, and Alvin Bailey to lead the receivers this season. These guys will need to get open a lot more this season, it doesn't help that the receivers are on their 5th position coach in 5 years. It's unsettled maybe that can change in 2013 with improved offensive line play.

TE: Losing Jordan Reed to the NFL stings. He accounted for 25% of Florida's receptions last season. That's big time production from receiver and running back that is missing for florida this season. TE Clay Burton will likely open the season as the starter but don't be suprised if Colin Thompson steals his thunder once the regular season gets rolling.

OL: This position group has to do better. They have to do better in pass protection for Driskel or it will be a long season for the Gators. This spring they were hit by injuries along the OL. The injuries got so bad that the team cancelled it's spring game and opted to hold a open practice. Injuries, Pass Protection, limiting penalties are keys for this group in 2013. The good news is that the team will be receiving a plethora of transfers to help this group out. They allowed 39 sacks last season while leading the SEC in Penalty's. Eliminating those things will let us know whether Florida is a 9 win team or an national title contender.

DL: They lost Shariff Floyd and Omar Hunter but this group is still pretty solid. Domonique Easley (26TT, 4sacks), Dante Fowler (30TT, 2.5sacks) Leon Orr, and Ronald Powell will lead the group. The latter led the team in sacks in 2011 but missed 2012 due to and ACL tear. They also have some quality backups and good freshman as they have recruited well.

LB: Jon Bostic, Jelani Jenkins, Lerentee McCray are gone. Long gone Bostic will be the toughest one to replace he was the heart and soul of the LB corps and was one of the most recognizeable LB's around CFB. Mike Taylor and Antonio Morrison look ready to step their games up to replace the senior leadership on this team.

DB: I don't care what anyone says about Purifoy, Roberson, and Watkins, but the secondary is a problem and will be a problem. Josh Evans and Matt Elam meant so much to this defense along with Bostic and Floyd. That really it's going to be a blow. They need to get some young safeties ready to play as they will be targeted early and often. Yes the Corner trio is very good and very talented but without that great safety help there will be some guys running behind UF for big plays. The sooner this position gets cleaned up the better of they'll be. They get an A+ as far as Corner's are concerned. It's like a C+ on the Safety's until further notice. Especially losing guys like Evans and Elam.

Florida's future outlook for 2013 and beyond:
Losing so many key players on defense will hurt. They will still field a top unit but it just may not be a top 10 unit. The good thing for Florida is that their schedule this season is not as dificuly as 2012's. This is a team that could have a few things happen. They could lose 4-5 games if guys don't step up. They could also be in the NC hunt if everyone steps up. Overall I expect two or three regular season loses with their best chance at a title being in 2014. As far as recruiting is concerned Florida look's to keep bringing RB's the way that Alabama is bringing in RB's. They currently have Dalvin Cook committed and are still in the running for at least 3 more top RB's. In the future they believe they have 2015 RB Jordan Scarlett locked up as well also. So while I personally believe Florida was an overachiever in 2012 and will struggle in 2013 I believe 2014 is Florida's year to do damage.

GAME DAY
Sept 7th, 12:00PM

There are SO many X-Factors to this game I can't really say who will win. Especially without fall camp and week one arriving to see who gets injured and excetera.

Questions for Florida
Does Florida keep shooting themselves in the foot with penalties?
Will the Florida OL be healthy? Can they protect Driskel?
Is Jones as good as advertised? Will recievers step up?
Will the safety's contain Miami receivers? (See Dorsett against ND)
Which young LB's step up for Florida? Will they step up by week two or later in the season?


Stat Predictions
Offense
Morris 250-330 yards, 2-3 TD's, 1 INT.
Duke Johnson 70-110 Rushing Yards
Crawford 60 Total Yards

Defense:
1-2 sacks. 1 Turnover.

Miami will be really motivated to play this game. It's in Miami and we may not play Florida for a while the way things are looking. So an inspired win may not be out of the question. Also to those on the board that want to hype of the Florida team take the following into consideration. Most penalized SEC team, Gave up 39 sacks, lack of a passing game, lost KEY defenders over the off-season, lost a stud RB to the NFL and you have some room for thought. Don't forget Florida has started games out slow. If they start slow against a face paced team like Miami this game could be over by the 4th if Miami capitlizes on those mistakes. Similar to the Louisville game. We would also have to not slow down.

Last Season Florida started slow against:
Bowling Green (Tied 14-14 with 9 to go in the 3rd)
TAMU (TAMU up 17-7 at the Half)
Tennesse (Tenn up 14-10 at the Half)
LSU (LSU up 6-0 at the Half)
Vanderbilt (VANDY up 7-0 After the 1st)
UGA (UGA up 10-6 going into 4th)
Mizz (MIZZ up 7-0 at the half)
So even if we are up Miami has to keep scoring Florida showed that they were a great second half team.

With that said this game will go one of two ways.

Florida Wins 20-13
Miami wins 42-35
I still think Florida takes this one in a nail bitter.
 
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If Florida establishes the run (i.e. vs FSU or LSU) we will be in for a long night. We MUST get off the field on 3rd down. The more our defense is on the field, the further and further a victory will get.

Something that you didn't mention is special teams. UF lost their all-time great kicker Sturgis to the NFL. That guy was money from 50 in, which really helped when their offense stalled out (often). Our special teams needs to be great. Great coverage on kicks and punts to keep the field long. Great blocking on punts and field goals to not give up a cheap block and flip the field back (or give points). We must capitalize on their aggressive style of defense and we MUST make them pay for penalties on both sides of the ball. We likely won't be able to run very well against them, so Morris will need to check down and take what's given; they will play us semilar to how ND played us last year.
Honestly it's probably better NOT to get into a dog fight with them. We need to light it up early and often. Take care of the football and take advantage of as many mistakes as possible and we will have ourselves a W. Just my two cents.

Miami wins 26-16
 
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Miami 38
UF 23

I tend to lean in this direction as well, I'm not even sure I see them putting up 23. I think Miami starts of hot, gets up by a decent margin say, 17pts and forces UF to throw, which based on last year Driskell is not too good at. If Miami hits their plays early they could run away with it.
I'm as confident with the offense as I've ever been. When Miami returns a very good QB and a very good RB history has shown they do well. Throw in what could be a top three O line and solid receivers...
:stormwarning:
 
If Florida establishes the run (i.e. vs FSU or LSU) we will be in for a long night. We MUST get off the field on 3rd down. The more our defense is on the field, the further and further a victory will get.

Something that you didn't mention is special teams. UF lost their all-time great kicker Sturgis to the NFL. That guy was money from 50 in, which really helped when their offense stalled out (often). Our special teams needs to be great. Great coverage on kicks and punts to keep the field long. Great blocking on punts and field goals to not give up a cheap block and flip the field back (or give points). We must capitalize on their aggressive style of defense and we MUST make them pay for penalties on both sides of the ball. We likely won't be able to run very well against them, so Morris will need to check down and take what's given; they will play us semilar to how ND played us last year.
Honestly it's probably better NOT to get into a dog fight with them. We need to light it up early and often. Take care of the football and take advantage of as many mistakes as possible and we will have ourselves a W. Just my two cents.

Miami wins 26-16

Yeah I think you're right but don't forget they return one of CFB's best punters as well. He really helped them out in the field position battle and once again that agressive defense kicks in. Thanks for reminding me I will start including special teams starting tomorrow when I do the Savannah State Preview.
 
agree with mostly everything in the write-up except for driskel being more quick than fast (dude is a legit 4.5 dude) and the o-line being bad. consider this, uf had the sec's #3 rushing attack and one of the better ground games in the country with the support of 1600 yards passing...a bad o-line doesn't do that agains the defenses we faced. of the sacks they gave up, i'd say 2/3 were the result of driskel holding the ball, the kid has NO feel for the passing game whatsoever. for example, against A&M he was sacked 7 times and everyone blamed the o-line, then pease came out and said driskel was responsible for 6 of them, the kid usually got a decent amount of time but can't read coverage for ****. stop the run and you beat us.
 
Elam covered up a lot of errors by cb's. I saw him personally blow up wide open wr's and it was multiple times.
 
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This game will be a true measuring stick for the team in 2013. A win could propel us to a 11-1 or undefeated season. If we are making the necessary progress in the weight room and can compete with UF in the trenches I like our chances. We need to start using roids like the SEC.

Miami 27
UF 17
 
nail biter could go either way.....

didnt see enough improvement from our d this spring.....

our strengths is one of their strengths in the pass game vs pas defense. Their not all worldly but might not have to be because of our d...also they have recruited extremly well ont he dline and dont let stats fool..their guys can get after it.....Need our oline to play big their....their lbs are legit...Morrisonw as good as a fresh,....Mike Taylor is a kid we wanted to take.

Need some help from special teams..(kick returns) and we may be able to do some things...if we jump out early...like stated they couldd be in trouble..Driskel Never impressed me...and we can put our best on Quentin Dunbas( as some of u may recall hes legit)...
 
agree with mostly everything in the write-up except for driskel being more quick than fast (dude is a legit 4.5 dude) and the o-line being bad. consider this, uf had the sec's #3 rushing attack and one of the better ground games in the country with the support of 1600 yards passing...a bad o-line doesn't do that agains the defenses we faced. of the sacks they gave up, i'd say 2/3 were the result of driskel holding the ball, the kid has NO feel for the passing game whatsoever. for example, against A&M he was sacked 7 times and everyone blamed the o-line, then pease came out and said driskel was responsible for 6 of them, the kid usually got a decent amount of time but can't read coverage for ****. stop the run and you beat us.

he didnt read it in hih school either....i dont see that improving...afew calculated blitzes and the same results as T A&M will happen....i like Matt Jones..and our dline has question marks...but if u guys become all one dimensional...No Frio might be able to do some things...i dont think the guys behind Jones are scary...Mack Brown is heading toward Bust level..and Fred Taylor's son is a freshie...who havent felt the wrath of a Denzel Perryman type hit.(though kid will be a player down the road for u)
 
it all depends in the FAU game...Fl is FL they have studs we all know they do...they will be better than they were last year...they were embarrassed in the bowl game...that should help them prepare better...I like a close game early then we turn it on and have a easy win 31-13.....sets the stage then...
 
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If our S and C is finally up to snuff, and thus can at least match them at the LOS, we win.

If not, we will struggle to run and stop the run, and that is not a formula for success.

Will we finally see a physically stout Cane team?
 
UiF has been recruiting really well. Lots of new guys that are extremely talented but unproven in starting roles/big games.

We still need to show we can handle a big QB that can run, even though Driskell is considered a chump around these parts. Plenty of chumps have lit us up.

Timing is big here. 19 returning starters should have an edge when it comes to early season performance but in the end its all about the QBs. Our receivers, and Duke need to step it up. They dominated ****** teams but were held in check by the better defenses we saw.

Its put up or shut up time.
 
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2nd game of the season? Miami is going to walk into that game with a chip on their shoulder and beat the **** out of UF for coach Golden. Then the State of Miami will be intact...
 
Prediction 1:
Miami may come out connecting deep, Duke running all over their D and our O-line renders their Dline useless. Miami again relies on O and comes out on top Miami 30 UF 21

Prediction 2:
Miami comes out with a 10 point lead at the half. Florida Offense goes down the field but fails to convert to points. after a while this wears down our D-line and a few mistakes on O cost us the game by 7.


it can be 1 or 2 BUT 1 thing is for sure i WILL be crying after this game
 
I wish we can wager recruits on these games..

Miami offers up one of its commits and UF does the same and winner takes all.
 
agree with mostly everything in the write-up except for driskel being more quick than fast (dude is a legit 4.5 dude) and the o-line being bad. consider this, uf had the sec's #3 rushing attack and one of the better ground games in the country with the support of 1600 yards passing...a bad o-line doesn't do that agains the defenses we faced. of the sacks they gave up, i'd say 2/3 were the result of driskel holding the ball, the kid has NO feel for the passing game whatsoever. for example, against A&M he was sacked 7 times and everyone blamed the o-line, then pease came out and said driskel was responsible for 6 of them, the kid usually got a decent amount of time but can't read coverage for ****. stop the run and you beat us.

Agreed. Do you feel Driskel will learn to read coverages? Or will he keep holding the ball too long? Is it true that Muschamp wrote a letter to the NCAA regarding the officials? I heard he was ****ed off that UF was getting all those flags last season.
If UF runs a little bit of pistol that offense might be lethal.

Either way Sept. 7 will be a war. Im flying from Chicago for this one. 50 yard line seats baby!

Dorito better ensure that we have 8 in the box.
I'm surprised most believe we win this game comfortably. Miami MUST score early and often. That seems to be the key. If Miami scores 28+ points we've likely won the game. We need to attack those young safeties that you guys have.
 
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