Treating each game as a binomial event:
Remaining games: 7
Record needed for a winning regular season: 7-0 (.781% probability)
Record needed for .500 regular season: 6-1 (5.469%)
Someone with a gambling background can fine tune those odds with RPI, winning %, home field, etc.
Even worse, 65% of the games were played at home, a huge advantage and somehow a still a losing record.
I hope it happens, but as of right now I believe we would face Clemson and wake in our pool, and if that wasn't bad enough potentially chase burns.There’s only 7 seasons where Miami baseball finished sub .500:
-1940
-1946
-1948
-1952
-1954
-1957
-2024
Out of those 7 sub .500 seasons, only 3 were 4+ games under .500:
-1946
-1952
-2024
Unless we have a crazy, miraculous run in the ACC tourney, this will truly be a historical season. The silver linings r, of course, Cuvet, a nice bounce back 2nd half of the season for Long, Ziehl showing the heart of a pit bull, & a pleasant offensive surprise from Scanlon.
They are second to last in RPI to an 8 win team, strangely. Kind of been following their futility with fascination. JD will probably go after their portal transfers.Just for laughs there is a team called Maryland Eastern Shore that went 0-48 this year. They are in the same conference as Long Island and Stonehill.
Yeah I was like holy cow it's almost like they're losing on purpose.They are second to last in RPI to an 8 win team, strangely. Kind of been following their futility with fascination. JD will probably go after their portal transfers.
And Florida State is the only team in the state that will for sure make the tournament.I just realized that none of the three D1 programs in South Florida finished the regular season above .500:
FAU 26-27 (RPI 174)
FIU 26-28 (RPI 129)
Miami 25-29 (RPI 90; worst in the ACC)
There’s only 7 seasons where Miami baseball finished sub .500:
-1940
-1946
-1948
-1952
-1954
-1957
-2024
Out of those 7 sub .500 seasons, only 3 were 4+ games under .500:
-1946
-1952
-2024
Unless we have a crazy, miraculous run in the ACC tourney, this will truly be a historical season. The silver linings r, of course, Cuvet, a nice bounce back 2nd half of the season for Long, Ziehl showing the heart of a pit bull, & a pleasant offensive surprise from Scanlon.