I disagree here. Yes perhaps he shows out at the combine but I think his game film is where he is special... if he had a 1st round grade, he would be gone, If he had a second round grade, he would be gone. I think he was in that 3-5 round range which is a mid pick. Every kid likes to bet on themselves and likely thinks they are going higher than they actually will. I think the delay was a combination of things but one of them was him feeling out NFL scouts and NFL interest.
I guess I can inverse that as well, if he was not a mid to late round pick like you said then that only leaves early rounds right? which would have to be 1 or 2. I dont think anyone had that grade on him last year.
The year before Miami he had 7- 300+ yd passing games. He has done that the first 7 this year. He also took 40 sacks, this year he is at 11. Last year he only threw 25 tds, he has already thrown 24 tds Last year he had 144 rushing yards total, he is already at 190, last year he had 14 fumbles, he has like 2 this year.