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@lindend everyone on here appreciates your work. It's a lot of effort and usually thankless. So you should feel free to measure win rate however the heck you want. That said, just mathematically, I don't see how the win rate could have gone up if you're now assigning a 0 or a 1 to the old...

I think @Da Jumbo Mutombo has it right. You make a "prediction" then you stick by it. You change it then you get a 0 for the prediction that was wrong, and two 0s if both the old and new predictions are wrong. Saying "lean" or "likely" or similar doesn't count either way. But once the CB goes...

I see your point for sure. On the one hand, kids change their mind. On the other hand, coming up with a SWAG early on and then changing your crystal ball is a cop out. Should just say "leans" not "predict", so it doesn't count either way.

This new coaching staff is making rookie mistakes. My eyes are fully focused on the DL where Mario is personally heavily involved. If we do well there, we’ll recover. If that falls apart, then Mario is getting outmaneuvered and we have deeper problems than overly confident staffers.