The building narrative…

I wouldn't put us in.

Teams generally get better as the season goes on and we had our typical down the stretch run of futility.

Two losses in the last three, that's a bad look. You were in the drivers seat for a ACCCG appearance and not only floundered once, but twice.
Bama and Ole Miss didn't get better as the year went on either though. South Carolina definitely did, but I don't see how you can put South Carolina over Bama and Ole Miss since they lost to both of those teams.
 
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I wouldn't put us in.

Teams generally get better as the season goes on and we had our typical down the stretch run of futility.

Two losses in the last three, that's a bad look. You were in the drivers seat for a ACCCG appearance and not only floundered once, but twice.
If you’re so narrow minded, as you can’t see the advantages of us getting in then there’s not much I can do to help you.
 
ACC will see to it that Clemson wins so they have a guaranteed two teams. They don't want to put it in the committee's hands
I Guess If You Say So GIF
 
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Tomorrow determines where we stand (and then we wait on Clemson-SMU) but ultimately narrative is interesting - lots of folks thinking Miami should be in and the more I think about it it really makes sense lol

Think Ole Miss is eliminated based on loss to 4-8 UK and 7-5 UF, even though they won H2H with USCe

That leaves Bama and USCe.

Alabama has horrendous losses. 6-6 Vandy and OU. Both as 2+ TD favorites. Blown out by OU. Gave up 40+ to Vandy… They own H2H over USCe but may not matter given how “hot” USCe is

Which leaves USCe. Think they’re most likely to jump us. 3 losses though, to both the other aforementioned teams will be a tough sell. The games either matter or they don’t - period.

A reasonable CFP ranking this week would be (seeding wise)
1) Oregon
2) Texas
3) SMU
4) Boise
5) Notre Dame
6) Ohio State(?)
7) Penn State
8) Georgia
9) Tennessee
10) Indiana
11) ASU
12) Miami
13) USCe
14) Alabama
15) Ole Miss
 
Nah. This isn’t a playoff caliber team. Who cares that the other options lost to worse teams than we did and have an additional loss. I’ve only watched Miami this year and I can tell you with certainty we aren’t a playoff caliber team, we look nothing like 2001 which is the only barometer.
This ^ 👏👏👏
 
So much football left.

SMU - clemson : SMU wins, Miami is likely in
UGA - texas: Texas wins, UGA looks weaker for those that beat them.
Unlv - Boise st: unlv isn’t jumping in but they could smash Boises chance.
Iowa st - Arizona st: Iowa St wins, they likely make it as the highest other.

Almost easier to say who is IN

Oregon
Psu
Osu
Indiana
Tennessee
Texas
SMU
ND


Arizona State/Iowa State winner
Boise State if they win.
Clemson only if they beat SMU.
 
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So much football left.

SMU - clemson : SMU wins, Miami is likely in
UGA - texas: Texas wins, UGA looks weaker for those that beat them.
Unlv - Boise st: unlv isn’t jumping in but they could smash Boises chance.
Iowa st - Arizona st: Iowa St wins, they likely make it as the highest other.
Winner of UNLV-Boise and ISU-ASU are both in as the 4th and 5th highest conference champs.

Really all comes down to where we’re ranked relative to Bama/SCar tomorrow, and then if SMU beats Clemson. I’d be curious if we’re behind SCar and SMU were to just wax Clemson what that would mean. Would be a big hit to SCar’s biggest win.
 
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Getting in by itself is huge for recruiting. Allows you to set up next year’s class by showing you are potentially just a piece or two away.

You want to be in, and even if you lose, as long as you’re not blown out you set yourself up nicely.
 
As much as ESPN, CBS Sports and Yahoo talk about Miami getting in, the Las Vegas odds as of this post do not and that’s what concerns me.
 
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ACC will see to it that Clemson wins so they have a guaranteed two teams. They don't want to put it in the committee's hands
Won’t have to. The ACC will know if it’s gets 2 teams in tmrw and if Miami is inside the Top 11 they’d be in.

Next week won’t matter for us if we are outside of the top 11 (12 if they rank ASU @11 but I don’t see that)
 
Really all comes down to where we’re ranked relative to Bama/SCar tomorrow, and then if SMU beats Clemson. I’d be curious if we’re behind SCar and SMU were to just wax Clemson what that would mean. Would be a big hit to SCar’s biggest win.
What if UGA gets smacked down bad? Yet another 3 loss sec team.
 
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What if UGA gets smacked down bad? Yet another 3 loss sec team.
Honestly I think the more interesting scenario is if UGA smacks Texas again. Texas would have two beat downs on their resume and their best win is 8-4 TAMU. They had maybe the easiest schedule in the SEC.
 
Guess it would be Army vs Unlv for the last spot
It’s the winner of Boise/UNLV. Army wasn’t even ranked this week. If UNLV beats a top ten team they aren’t getting jumped by a team that beats unranked Tulane.
 
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