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Over 8.5 RSW

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SoFlaCane

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Oct 10, 2012
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110
In jeopardy right now....

Virginia, win. Duke, eh. Pittsburgh, eh.

Yikes... never thought I'd say this. I am very nervous.

I hope to god we go 10-2 and winout.
 
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If we lose vs Duke we will lose vs Pitt for sure. With a win this saturday and maybe we'll win out
 
Overs are tough on season wins. The numbers are slanted upward because the public invariably looks to the over. The sharp guys who play those things for big money will always have a card of roughly 80% unders and 20% overs. Lots of issues can help an under, like key injuries or suspensions. What, exactly, helps an over? The only thing that helps is if the team is simply underrated.

I'm sweating Dolphins over 6.5 wins. That was my only season win bet. Tonight would be a pivotal win, and make me a big favorite. I only played that prop because Cantor Gaming made a basic mistake when they put up that number. Las Vegas sportsbooks make basic errors all the time. Anyone who has lived there and been a part of the scene understands that. Somehow, the national reputation is the opposite, that the books are all knowing and unerring. Cantor went first and put up Miami at 6.5. Other more respected spots quickly put up 7.5, then it got bet to 8. So I have a game and a half edge over the closing line.
 
Dukes a toss up. I think we take care of Virginia and Pitt unless the wheels completely fall off.
 
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After the dumpster fire the last two weeks, no game is certain. Viginia is going to play us like its their national championship. Same as Duke. Didn't Pittsburgh just handle the Domers? It's a Thursday game so I can see Pitt giving an inspired effort like UNC did. So we have the defense reverting to last years form, no Duke, no Dorsett. I would be happy as **** with 10-2 at this rate but I just don't know.
 
I hope and pray we go 10-2.... and winout. Seriously the bet doesn't mean **** compared to us going 10-2. I would consider that very successful.
 
We make UVA look like an elite team every year. So no way can you discount them offensively, or defensively.
 
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How things turned... Last week we were gonna be 11-1 and hoping we would play FSU tough in the ACCCG

Now we just hope to beat duke and Pitt... Sad *** ****
 
if we win out wone we still go to the ACCCG game. We will be tied with GT and VT (assuming they both win out) with two ACC loses, but dont they take the highest BCS Ranked team to the Championship?
 
Ekim12 said:
if we win out wone we still go to the ACCCG game. We will be tied with GT and VT (assuming they both win out) with two ACC loses, but dont they take the highest BCS Ranked team to the Championship?
Click to expand...

(Three team (or more) tiebreaker procedure will be used to break all ties to identify the Championship game representative. Once a team is eliminated from the tie, the tie-breaking procedures restart for the remaining teams. If the three (or more) team tie can only be reduced to two teams, the two-team tiebreaking procedure will then be applied).

  1. Combined head-to-head winning percentage among the tied teams.
  2. Winning percentage of the tied teams within the division.
  3. Head-to-head competition versus the team within the division with the best overall (divisional and non-divisional) Conference winning percentage, and proceeding through the division. Multiple ties within the division will be broken fi rst to last, using the league’s tie-breaking procedures.
  4. Combined winning percentage versus all common non-divisional opponents.
  5. Combined winning percentage versus all non-divisional opponents.


VT would go since they are 2-0 vs. Miami and GT.
 
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