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Opening Line for NC State

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I don't know what to make of that. Generally, the first way to look in a Canes game is the underdog. Money earner for years, including under Golden. I think taking the points is 9-5 last season and this year. One game was pick, against South Florida. Golden has only covered one double digit favorite roll, last season vs. Duke. Failures were Bethune Cookman twice, Virginia, Boston College and Kansas State. Hard to believe we were -13 last season vs. Kansas State, but that was the line.

Golden has done well as small favorite or pick-em. Covers against Ohio State, Georgia Tech and South Florida last year, and Boston College this season.

I'd like to say something about NC State but admittedly I've only watched a portion of one game, the loss to Tennessee.
 
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how do teams typically do after playing GT? I would imagine there is a defensive letdown after devoting the entire week before to stopping the option. Keep in mind, NC State will have had virtually 2 weeks to prepare for us.
 
whoopingcane said:
Sun Life is only good for 1.5 points.
Click to expand...

There's plenty of truth to that. In early 2007 I sent a letter to Shalala and Dee telling them that they were voluntarily giving up 2 points per game, on average, by abandoning the Orange Bowl in favor of the glorified neutral site. Year after year. They may not have cared but it needed to be pointed out.

Bettors quietly plunge on the road team in the late going at Sun Life. It's been a winning strategy for years so there's no chance it will stop. Oddsmakers assign the standard 3 points basically because they aren't paying attention and don't need to pay attention. With hundreds of teams they can't keep track of everything and the 11/10 in their favor washes plenty of errors. I have many betting friends who hunt for the most favorable line against the Dolphins and Canes when they are at home, and pull the trigger, knowing the number will move in their favor late. Only occasionally is the situational spot so bad for the road team that the money moves in favor of the home team. Oakland, for example, played the Dolphins at 1 PM in black jerseys on a short week after hosting San Diego on Monday night. That number moved late in the Dolphins' favor, from +2.5 to +1.5. Yesterday the familiar trend resurfaced. The Jets were -3 early in the week then somebody decided it needed to plunge to Jets -1. It sat there for a day then the standard anti-Miami at home late move showed up, bumping the number to -2.5 -125 and finally all the way back to -3. Lucky outcome but that stadium spits out fortunate results for the roaders, more akin to 1.5 point home edge than 2.5 or 3. It's been going on so long there's no reason to analyze further. The Orange Bowl was more like 3.5 to 4, and beyond that in pivotal games when the Dolphins or Canes were in their heyday.
 
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Awsi Dooger said:
whoopingcane said:
Sun Life is only good for 1.5 points.
Click to expand...

There's plenty of truth to that. In early 2007 I sent a letter to Shalala and Dee telling them that they were voluntarily giving up 2 points per game, on average, by abandoning the Orange Bowl in favor of the glorified neutral site. Year after year. They may not have cared but it needed to be pointed out.
Click to expand...

rep'd
 
Biggest potential letdown game of the year, IMO. This game determines whether or not I'm going to stick with my optimistic season projections in the face of a long-term turnaround for our program, or whether we are facing more of the same.

Huge, emotional, comeback win at GT with lots of drama. Next week we play a mediocre to slightly-below mediocre team (that does have a QB capable of exploiting us). Is Golden the guy to get this **** done, have us winning close games after we win close games? Or do we come out flat and fall down by 32 by the end of the first half? I know that people have been saying this is a pivotal game for us since before the season, this is the point in the season where the defense should begin catching on as well.
 
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