Odds of Miami winning if...

[HialeahHomey]

Treat each scenario separately. Pretend you have a crystal ball and it tells you one of these will come true. Instead of odds, maybe think of it in terms of having $100 to bet with, where losing anything over $50 would be tough and losing $100 would get you into serious trouble. How much would you be willing to bet? Feel free to add your own scenarios.

Duke rushes for 120 yards:
Kaaya has more td's than int's:
Heaps gets playing time:
Miami kicks 4 field goals (may or may not have scored any td's):
Miami sacks Louisville 4 times:
Miami gets 3 turnovers:
Louisville passes for 300 yards:
Louisville has more yards rushing than Miami:

 

[FUFSU]

Treat each scenario separately. Pretend you have a crystal ball and it tells you one of these will come true. Instead of odds, maybe think of it in terms of having $100 to bet with, where losing anything over $50 would be tough and losing $100 would get you into serious trouble. How much would you be willing to bet? Feel free to add your own scenarios.

Duke rushes for 120 yards: 95% Miami loses
Kaaya has more td's than int's: 95% Miami loses
Heaps gets playing time: 100% Miami loses
Miami kicks 4 field goals (may or may not have scored any td's): 100% Miami loses
Miami sacks Louisville 4 times: 95% Miami loses
Miami gets 3 turnovers: 95% Miami loses
Louisville passes for 300 yards: 100% Miami loses
Louisville has more yards rushing than Miami: 100% Miami loses

.

 

[MDOcane]

i think the deciding factor in the game will be turnover differential. winner of that will win the game

 

[cf3000]

Treat each scenario separately. Pretend you have a crystal ball and it tells you one of these will come true. Instead of odds, maybe think of it in terms of having $100 to bet with, where losing anything over $50 would be tough and losing $100 would get you into serious trouble. How much would you be willing to bet? Feel free to add your own scenarios.

Duke rushes for 120 yards: 95% Miami loses
Kaaya has more td's than int's: 95% Miami loses
Heaps gets playing time: 100% Miami loses
Miami kicks 4 field goals (may or may not have scored any td's): 100% Miami loses
Miami sacks Louisville 4 times: 95% Miami loses
Miami gets 3 turnovers: 95% Miami loses
Louisville passes for 300 yards: 100% Miami loses
Louisville has more yards rushing than Miami: 100% Miami loses

.