HurricaneVision
Staff Writer
- Joined
- Nov 16, 2012
- Messages
- 943
I had never heard of this kid, or watched him play before seeing this thread. I truly do not care what his rating is, or who is recruiting him, to me, recruiting is all about what you are asking the player at that position to do. This kid fits what we want to do at SLB perfectly. Almost like he was created in a Manny Diaz' defense lab. He can rush the passer, he can move and get into passing lanes. He's long. He's fast. He's physical. He finishes the play. Plays against good competition.
You find a spot for him. He'll upgrade special teams and depth immediately. I like him better than I did Wilder.
I appreciate the sentiment, but there's logic behind looking at what players are ranked and how many stars they have. 4 stars are more than 2.5x more likely to be drafted than 3 stars. That being said, Nik is a 4 star. He fits what we do perfectly because he's really ****ing good and thus, really highly rated.
The moment we stop caring about the rankings of our players is when we go back to Al Golden territory where 75% of our class is full of 3 star "hidden gems" and then we lose to FSU 7 years in a row.
I will say I appreciate the use of data. It's something I understand and gravitate towards because it takes the emotion out of things.
That said, I really do not care what a website says about a player as far as recruiting ranking goes. The recruiting sites are fairly rigged in the sense that they aren't really evaluating players, they are selling subscriptions or trolling for page views. Being accurate and informative with their information helps to do that, for sure, but what they really want to do more than be accurate is make money. Large programs pay them for "game film and evaluations" when in reality what they're paying for is a bump for their recruits. Fans want to see highly rated players commit to their schools so programs that pay for their services get bumps in rankings.
Secondarily, the websites use big programs going after a player as a "check" to their ranking. Ohio State, Penn State, Alabama, Miami, Florida State start offering a two-star prospect, guess what is happening to that player's rating? They are getting bumped big-time at the next update. This isn't because they re-evaluated the kid, it's because they hedge their bets that if all these big-time schools with highly paid coaches like him, they need to like him more as well. When they do a review of where they had these guys rated, they get the benefit of that change in information.
For me, I want my coaches evaluating prospects for my school, and my school only. I want my coaches evaluating players for the traits and skills necessary to be successful in what I'm asking him to do. I wish we'd have done that with Rashad Fenton. A three-star kid that I loved. How about Skai Moore, another three-star kid I loved.
We've taken plenty of four-star kids I haven't liked at all for what we're going to ask him to do. I'm not talking about hidden gems at all, I'm talking about player evaluations specific to what we're asking the position to do.
For fun, I looked at the 2016 Consensus All-Americans.
QB- Lamar Jackson (.8788 three-star)
RB- Dalvin Cook (.9937 five-star)
RB- D'Onta Foreman (.8382 three-star)
WR- Corey Davis (.7741 two-star)
WR- DeDe Westbrook (.9025 four-star Juco)
TE- Jake Butt (.9255 four-star)
OT- Cody O'Connell (.8361 three-star)
OT- Ryan Ramcyzk (Not rated, transferred from DIII)
OT- Cam Robinson (.9979 five-star)
OT- Connor Williams (.8773 three-star)
C- Pat Elflein (.8419 three-star)
DE- Jonathan Allen (.9920 five-star)
DE- Derek Barnett (.9164 (four-star)
DE- Myles Garrett (.9992 five-star)
DE- Demarcus Walker (.9823 (four-star)
LB- Zach Cunningham (.9013 (four-star)
LB- Reuben Foster (.9958 (five-star)
LB- Jabrill Peppers (.9992 five-star)
S- Malik Hooker (.8858 three-star)
S- Budda Baker (.9721 (four-star)
CB- Minkah Fitzpatrick- (.9868 five-star)
CB- Tre'Davious White- (.9732 four-star)
All-Purpose- Quadree Henderson (.8589 three-star)
Results are good on the defensive side for sure. Man, Alabama isn't just good at recruiting five-stars, they're recruiting the right ones. Of course when you get a whole bunch of them, it's going to look like you're hitting on a bunch of them.