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Nigel Bethel, Jr. to visit Miami January 26th weekend

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ShadowSpring said:
Meat said:
ShadowSpring said:
Recruiting is not just about blue Chip players. It's also about being really good at finding kids under the radar that have the potential to be All-american type players. Butch was phenomenal at this.

Landing the diamond in the rough that becomes a star is pivital. When ya mix those kids with the bluechip studs, that's how u win championships. That is what pushes you over the top. That's how The U has won.
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Recruiting is like gambling. It's all about stacking the odds in your favor.

A five star recruit has a 74% chance of getting drafted to the NFL (2017 draft: 23 picked out of 31 total)
A four star recruit has a 21% chance of getting drafted to the NFL (2017 draft: 76 picked out of 354 total)
A three star recruit has a 7% chance of getting drafted to the NFL (2017 draft: 90 picked out of 1202 total)


Also, we can look at the number of blue chip player on every team's roster, and see that it matches up very well with the team's success:

Number of blue chips:

1.) Alabama (***** 18, **** 51)
2.) Ohio State (***** 7, **** 56)
3.) USC (***** 8, **** 41)
4.) Georgia (***** 11, **** 43)
5.) FSU (***** 10, **** 38)
6.) LSU (***** 4, **** 48)
7.) Michigan (***** 3, **** 46)
8.) Auburn (***** 4, **** 41)
9.) Clemson (***** 6, **** 34)
10.) Notre Dam (***** 0, **** 46)

compare that to...

Current College Football Rankings
1. Clemson
2. Oklahoma
3. Georgia
4. Alabama
5. Ohio State
6. Wisconsin
7. Auburn
8. USC
9. Penn State
10. UCF

Obviously there's a high correlation there, with the 120 Division 1 teams.

(BTW, Miami is #20 in talent with ***** 1 and **** 24, and we are #11 in the rankings)


So my point is that recruiting highly ranked guys is like stacking the deck in your favor. It's like playing with house odds. Sure, you might lose a hand here or there, but in the long run the odds always win out.
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For the last time.......where have I or anyone else said we should not go after the 5* and 4* bluechip recruits?

Literally nobody has said this. Nobody has made the argument 3* players are better than 5*. Nobody has said we should take Bethel and not Campbell or Surtain.

Miami is not going to be takin all 4* and 5* players in every single class. It isn't going to happen. This means you gotta find some 3* kids under the radar that have star potential.

If your gonna take 3* kids you have to do 1 of 2 things. Either take a raw athlete that maybe plays a different spot that has a clear high ceiling due to natural athleticism. Or take a kid that maybe lacks in some measurables in some way but make great football plays over and over and over.

Bethel fits the great athlete part of this. He is a potential take.

Nowhere are there more of these 3* kids that turn into All-Americans than in SEFL. A Miami coaching staff doing it's work has a huge advantage. They can look at kids more than anyone else. Miami should be able to have a greater percentage of 3* kids becoming ballas than anyone else. If this staff can find these diamonds in the rough unlike Golden, that is also how you beat the SEC teams. That is exactly how Miami has won 5 championships. The list of Miami All-American players that came from 2* and 3* players is too freaking long to list.

For the last freaking time so you can understand it........ya still go after Campbell and Surtain.
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The Top 5 schools vying for Bethel, according to his 247 page:

Miami
UCF
Akron
Bowling Green
FIU
 
01Canes said:
The Top 5 schools vying for Bethel, according to his 247 page:

Miami
UCF
Akron
Bowling Green
FIU
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No class, outside of Bama, maybe OSU/Clemson is all 5 stars...There is nothing wrong with taking a backup plan with big speed and upside from a school you need to keep as one of your pipelines.
 
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The positives for Bethel are his length around 6 feet and and his legit track speed--
10.78--100m and 21.57--200m both below the national elite for HS track kids and he has this 18 season to better those.

He gave the 400m a try this year and missed by one place at the FHSAA 3A Region 4 Championships of making the state finals

Needs the S&C for a RS year to get weight up 15 pounds or so.
 
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So we play every year well below 85 and you guys want to skip this kid? When we are full up on schollies I'll pass on plan B kids, but for now he's better than another hole in the roster. He's got the raw materials to be good and he's not taking a spot from some better kid, so why not take him?
 
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yall sleep on this guy. wouldn't surprise me at all if he's just as good as Campbell in college if not better. he has the physical tools.
 
Project guy nothing more nothing less. If he pans out it's nice and if he doesn't it was expected.
 
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valid said:
yall sleep on this guy. wouldn't surprise me at all if he's just as good as Campbell in college if not better. he has the physical tools.
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Lolllll

Just stop

Sound like the golden days... Strike out on all your top targets and start offering mid Major prospects
 
Odin said:
valid said:
yall sleep on this guy. wouldn't surprise me at all if he's just as good as Campbell in college if not better. he has the physical tools.
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Campbell is 6-3 180 and ran a 10.4,special,special talent.
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The knife cuts both ways. This kid was a walk-on at Bama and put may those 5 star speedsters on the bench.............his best 100m in high school was 11.04.

https://www.google.com/search?safe=...470...0i20i263k1j35i39k1j0i67k1.0.jmXLdQqtG4Y
 
Odin said:
valid said:
yall sleep on this guy. wouldn't surprise me at all if he's just as good as Campbell in college if not better. he has the physical tools.
Click to expand...

Campbell is 6-3 180 and ran a 10.4,special,special talent.
Click to expand...


J-Lo is freakin hot too but she ain't washing my dirty drawers either. time to move on and make due with what we can get.
 
CarolCityHigh said:
Odin said:
valid said:
yall sleep on this guy. wouldn't surprise me at all if he's just as good as Campbell in college if not better. he has the physical tools.
Click to expand...

Campbell is 6-3 180 and ran a 10.4,special,special talent.
Click to expand...

The knife cuts both ways. This kid was a walk-on at Bama and put may those 5 star speedsters on the bench.............his best 100m in high school was 11.04.

https://www.google.com/search?safe=...470...0i20i263k1j35i39k1j0i67k1.0.jmXLdQqtG4Y
Click to expand...

It does cut both ways......how many DBs in the NFL runa 10.41--100m? Richard Sherman does not nor do many other top NFL CBs.
 
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