COUNTERS: For the 85 rule, anyone who "was otherwise in their final year of eligibility" in 2020 is "exempt" from the 85 counter rule. I did the math at one point, and I think we had 11 guys who were going into their final year of eligibility in 2020, so we could conceivably carry 96 counters next year, because UP TO 11 would be exempt. Of course, some of those seniors will go in the draft or transfer out, so expect us to have between 85 and 95 recruited scholarship players as counters next year.
IC RULES: This issue is still developing. FOR NOW, we signed 21 kids in December, thus we have 3 more ICs under the current rules. Many people expect SOME SORT OF RELIEF on the IC rules that will un-freeze the Transfer Portal. As it currently stands, most schools have MOSTLY filled their IC numbers with HS kids, so there's not a lot of room left for transfers. One of two basic approaches may be employed for 2021. Either the NCAA will grant some sort of blanket "IC increase" that will apply to every school equally, or else they will have a more targeted approach that tries to address the Portal issue. Whatever happens, we can still expect SOMETHING that allows us to bring in more than 24 new players (including HS enrollees and transfers) for the 2021 cycle (and possibly the 2022 cycle).
Here are some guesses at the current time:
--I do not think Miami needs to push out any currently enrolled players FOR NOW due to the 85 counter rule not really being a hard-cap for 2021. Of course, we may need to push out a bunch of guys a year from now. Cross that bridge when we get to it.
--I do not think we will need to blueshirt anyone into 2022 ASSUMING we get enough Transfer IC relief. As it stands, 21 of our 24 ICs are ineligible to blueshirt because they signed LOIs in December. A true blueshirt would need to wait until mid-August to sign an LOI, so we don't have many remaining names we could even blueshirt.
--The real wildcard is if any current roster players decide to transfer out of Miami, particularly kids we weren't really expecting. For instance, a lot of people might project N'Kosi to leave, due to playing time/depth chart. But what if Keshawn decides to leave the WR corps when we really weren't expecting that. So, you might see this "projection" of who we should take from the Portal change if we get some unexpected departures. Look, we know we need DEs because of Rousseau and Phillips and Roche leaving, but we might have some new needs if young guys decide to leave us in a lurch.