Miami Hurricanes Week 9 Betting Preview - Powered by Bettorodds

DMoney
DMoney
3 min read
Odds vs Duke

- Moneyline: Miami: -1400 | Duke: +800
Implied Win Probability: Miami ~90.9%

- Spread: Miami: -20.5 (-105) | Duke: +20.5 (-115)
Implied Probability for Miami winning by 21+ Points: 48.8%

- Total Points: Over/Under 54.5 (-112/-108)
There’s a 50.5% chance the game will have 55+ Total Points

Team Totals

- Miami Total Points: 37.5 (-118/-114)
Implied Probability of Miami scoring 38+ Points: 50.5%

- Duke Total Points: 16.5 (-130/+102)
Implied Probability of Duke scoring 17+ Points: 53.7%

Player Props

Passing Yards
:
  • Cam Ward: 307.5 yards
There’s a 50% chance Ward throws for 308+ yards
  • Maalik Murphy: 194.5 yards
There’s a 50% chance Murphy throws for 195+ yards

Passing TDs:
  • Cam Ward: 2.5 TDs (-108/-122)
There’s a 48.07% chance Ward throws for 3+ TDs
  • Maalik Murphy: 1.5 TDS (+182/-250)
There’s a 32.8% chance Murphy throws for 2+ TDs

Rushing Yards:
  • Mark Fletcher (Miami): 57.5 yards
There’s a 50% chance Fletcher runs for 58+ yards
  • Damien Martinez (Miami): 61.5 yards
There's a 50% chance Martinez runs for 62+ yards

Receiving Yards:
  • Miami:
    • Xavier Restrepo: 76.5 yards
    • Isaiah Horton: 52.5 yards
  • Duke:
    • Jordan Moore: 40.5 yards
    • Eli Pancol: 43.5 yards
Touchdown Scorers (Sportsbook best price and estimated implied probability in parenthesis):

Damien Martinez: -150 (Fanatics, 55%)
Mark Fletcher: -145 (Fanduel, 54%)
Xavier Restrepo: -133 (Caesars, 52%)
Cam Ward (Rushing/Receiving only): +125 (Draftkings/Fanduel/Fanatics, 40%)
Isaiah Horton: +140 (Fanduel, 39%)
Sam Brown: +170 (Fanatics, 33%)
Jacolby George: +170 (Fanatics, 33%)
Elijah Arroyo: +240 (Caesars, 26%)

Season Long Futures

Playoff Chances
:

Miami: -620 | +400
82.2% chance to make the playoffs

Odds to Win the ACC:

Miami: +110 (~42.5%)
Clemson: +135 (~39.7%)
SMU: +650 (~11.8%)
Other teams are 17-1 or higher (yes, even Pitt)

Odds to Win Heisman:

Travis Hunter +215/-270 (29.5% to win)
Dillon Gabriel: +290/-370 (23.5%)
Cam Ward: +400/-520 (18.5%)
Ashton Jeanty: +600/-840 (12.6%)
Others are 20-1 or higher

Best Bets

Bettor Odds helps you identify positive Expected Value (EV) bets, giving you an edge toward profitable betting. For example, our platform has found several positive EV bets for the Miami/Duke game, along with live arbitrage opportunities between sportsbooks.

Duke Under 13.5 Points (bet365) +210
Approximate Expected Value (EV): +5.24%
Other books are much lower for this market (Draftkings is -200/+140 and Fanatics is -210/+160)

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Miami to Score First (bet365) -210
Duke to score First (Draftkings) +240


You can see the proof in the screenshots below:


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By betting on Duke at +240 on DraftKings and Miami at -210 on bet365, you can secure a guaranteed, risk-free profit. Our arbitrage feed makes spotting these opportunities easy, as shown below!

Which one of these jumps out to you? For me, it's Cam Ward third in the Heisman odds.
 

Comments (8)

The goal of Bettorodds is simple: Make you money and save you time. We sift through millions of lines daily across all sports and sports books to help you find the best plays at any moment. We find bets that are positive expected value on one book relative to a weighted average of all of the sportsbooks as well as help you identify which book has the best odds for your favorite bets. Use the code “CIS” to get 90% off your first month whop.com/bettorodds
 
Chip Patterson picked Duke to win outright as a “wouldn’t it be funny” and Danny Kanell picked Miami to cover the 3 tuddys
 
Martinez and fletcher having basically the same td odds and rushing over/ unders jumps out to me. Think Martinez will be getting more carries Saturday
 
This spread is objectively insane, even if we cover. I actually like the matchup and would take us to cover but its a nuts line.
 
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This spread is objectively insane, even if we cover. I actually like the matchup and would take us to cover but its a nuts line.
You'd think we were the #1 team in the country with a line like that against a 6-2 team.
 
Duke and Manny Diaz are gonna pull all the stops on this one. You know Manny wants this one real bad. I would expect trick plays, fake FG all the tricks

I feel pretty good with Duke+20
 
Duke is basically the same team as FSU. Poor offense, good defense.

FSU has better athletes. Duke plays smarter.

Miami 38-13
 
I like Martinez TD. Fletcher isn’t bad either
 
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